Goshen News, Goshen, IN

February 19, 2014

National Weather Service issues flood advisory


— The National Weather Service of Northern Indiana has issued a flood advisory for our area.

Here's the statement:

Several factors look to combine to create an increased flood risk from Thursday into this weekend.

Widespread snow and ice contain a large quantity of store water -- generally 1.5 to 4.0 inches across the region with the greatest water content across portions of northern Indiana and southern lower Michigan.

Melting has begun with additional snow melt today as afternoon highs rise above the freezing mark. Warmer conditions are expected Thursday, which in tandem with potential heavy rainfall, will yield increasing aggregate runoff atop frozen ground and lead to a heightened potential for flooding of low-lying areas, including basements and small creeks and streams. Significant rises along main stem rivers may follow this weekend.

In addition, increase runoff and warmer temperatures may lead to a breakup and downstream movement of thick river ice, increasing the risk for ice jam development, which would significantly increase local flooding potential on some local rivers.

The threat for flooding appears to be increasing in many areas, but is not certain at this point. The severity and timing of flooding will depend on the amount of rainfall received Thursday and the exact duration of warmer conditions, which remains uncertain.

If you live in a flood-prone area, now is the time to prepare for possible flooding.